Trumps is in!

[Rajoo]

Originally Posted by donquixote99

Here it is.

1. Some Republican voters and independents hate Trump, but may not like the Democratic nominee much either. So some of the ones that would have voted Democratic anyway because they hate Trump will choose to vote for Bloomberg instead. Some Democratic votes are wedged off.

2. Some Democrats may not like the Democratic nominee, but would do a 'hold your nose' vote rather than vote for Trump. If there's a Bloomberg alternative some will desert the Democrat to vote for him. More Democratic voters wedged off.

3. I don't see many Trump voters deserting him to vote for Bloomberg. So Bloomberg's votes are going to mostly come from the anti-Trump blocs. Meanwhile Trump's ability to appeal to authoritarians will activate these tendencies among people who normally vote Democratic. Basically, Trump's ability to wedge off these Democrats is unchanged, while Bloomberg interferes with the Democrat's corresponding ability to wedge off Trump-hating Republicans.

Bloomberg is probably convincing himself he can get a plurality be putting together Republicans who hate Trump and Democrats who don't like their nominee. He's kidding himself. He'll come in third. But he'll wedge off lots of the anti-Trump vote from the Democrat, as well as some hold-your-nose Democrats. But he won't hurt trump much. So, that's how Trump could win.

A very good post Don and here is how this applies to me.

I should vote for Hillary to prevent Trump from winning, not vote for Bloomberg since that would make Hillary lose to Trump, yet Hillary will be a rotten President. What a dilemma!