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  #181  
Old 09-28-2016, 02:15 PM
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merrylander merrylander is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by d-ray657 View Post
If you introduce everything you have to say with an insult to anyone who might differ from you, it is obvious that you don't want anyone to give any credit to your rants. Why do you bother?
Because he is a Trump Humper? BTW I read the article ant the author's reasoning shows he must be a progressive to get that far out in left field.
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  #182  
Old 09-28-2016, 02:42 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Tom Joad View Post
In about a week from now there will have been enough post debate polling in to show that Trump won the debate.

Better start working on your excuses now.
umm.. look at this TJ...
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/...tion-forecast/
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  #183  
Old 09-28-2016, 02:46 PM
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Originally Posted by 68custom View Post


Don't confuse TJ with facts. He likes living in denial.
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  #184  
Old 09-28-2016, 02:47 PM
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Reuters/Ipsos 9/22 to 9/26, Clinton +6. Does not cover the period of the Orange Crush.
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  #185  
Old 09-28-2016, 02:52 PM
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bobabode bobabode is offline
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Well, according to Trump he won all the post debate polls like Drudge Report and an imaginary CBS snap poll.
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  #186  
Old 09-28-2016, 02:53 PM
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Originally Posted by Boreas View Post
Reuters/Ipsos 9/22 to 9/26, Clinton +6. Does not cover the period of the Orange Crush.
Yikes. They had it tied on 9/21.
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  #187  
Old 09-28-2016, 02:54 PM
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Originally Posted by barbara View Post
Don't confuse TJ with facts. He likes living in denial.
yeah I need to to get back to sipping my beta-latte!
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  #188  
Old 09-28-2016, 03:06 PM
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Tom Joad Tom Joad is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 68custom View Post
And that is based on how much polling data after the debate?

None, that's how much.

Quote:
Originally Posted by barbara View Post
Don't confuse TJ with facts. He likes living in denial.
See above.

The facts are there is no post debate polling data out yet.

If the post debate polling that will be coming out in the next week or so shows that Trump did not get a decent bounce out of that first debate, then you can throw all the shit you want at me, and I'll have to take it. But until then, my message to you is:

Go fuck yourselves.
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Last edited by Tom Joad; 09-28-2016 at 03:23 PM.
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  #189  
Old 09-28-2016, 03:37 PM
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Tom Joad Tom Joad is offline
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OK, here's the benchmark I am going to use.

As of today Clinton has a 2.9% edge according to the RCP average of 9 polls.

These 9 polls represent a total of 45 polling days, one of which was on 9/27, presumable after the debate.

When at least 50% of the total days of the polls being used in the average contain polling data taken after the debate (9/27 and beyond) I will revisit the average and see how it compares. Anyone that has a problem with this methodology is free to object or suggest another, and I will take their comments under advisement.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...nton-5491.html
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  #190  
Old 09-28-2016, 03:38 PM
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JCricket JCricket is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Tom Joad View Post
And that is based on how much polling data after the debate?

None, that's how much.



See above.

The facts are there is no post debate polling data out yet.

If the post debate polling that will be coming out in the next week or so shows that Trump did not get a decent bounce out of that first debate, then you can throw all the shit you want at me, and I'll have to take it. But until then, my message to you is:

Go fuck yourselves.
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/...e-for-clinton/ Clinton won

http://www.cnn.com/2016/09/27/politi...p-debate-poll/ clinton won

http://www.cnn.com/2016/09/27/politi...p-debate-poll/ some mix, but mostly clinton won

http://nypost.com/2016/09/27/online-...e-were-rigged/ NYtimes. Initial polls that showed trump won were actually rigged and manipulated by trump supporters. Clinton actually won.
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