Quote:
Originally Posted by Tom Joad
Bernie is a big underdog in New Hampshire due to the expectations game. He needs to win by 20 points just to break even.
He'll need 30 to get a decent bounce going out.
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They're even on delegates coming out of Iowa. The stuff I've read says anything over 15 points gives Bernie a significant lead in delegates from NH.
Of course, the polls are reversed in SC, so Bernie is going to have to do very well in NH just to keep up. Then Nevada comes, IIRC...That may be another tough nut for Bernie.
Interesting stuff, I didn't really pay much attention to the primaries in '08 until Obama got the nomination.