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Old 11-19-2016, 12:38 PM
Tom Joad's Avatar
Tom Joad Tom Joad is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2013
Posts: 12,654
I'm going to go with my gut, which is right about 80% of the time.

Chances of:

Impeached, removed from office = 0%
Resigns during middle of term = 10%
Assassinated = 10%
Declines to run for second term = 10%
Fails in reelection bid = 20%
Reelected for second term serves full 8 years = 50%
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