Election Day Predictions

[Boreas]

Originally Posted by finnbow

I'm thinking Obama will win by a reasonable electoral vote margin (though he'll lose Florida IMHO), but he'll lose the popular vote. Romney has a big margin in the rock solid red(neck) states.

Sounds like you and I are in pretty close agreement but I do think Sandy could shift the popular vote to the President.

So does Alex Jones.

Meanwhile, Romney and his suspended campaign are having a "Relief Rally" as I write this.

In Kettering, Ohio.

John

[whell]

I won't go so far as picking states, but with the election a week away the polls show that the "might mo" (momentum) continues to go Romney's way. Even the NPR poll which had President Obama leading Mitt Romney 51 percent to 44 percent four weeks ago, now has Mitt Romney on top, 48 percent to 47 percent. Gallup also continues to show Romney on top.

http://media.npr.org/documents/2012/oct/NPROctpoll.pdf

The polls continue to show that the issue that matters most to voters by a substantial margin is the economy. In poll after poll, Obama looses to Romney on the issues that polls are suggesting is the most central to voters nation-wide. I think that issue is of even more pronounced importance in most of the swing states.

Close vote, it'll be a long night for the networks next Tuesday. However, I think the trends support a Romney win.

[piece-itpete]

You mean - Clinton should be stumping for Romney?

Pete

[bobabode]

Originally Posted by piece-itpete

You mean - Clinton should be stumping for Romney?

Pete

Gov. Christie is stumping for Obama! and 2016..

[BlueStreak]

Too close to call. Anyone trying to claim "victory" right now, would be a fool. Kind of like claiming "Mission Accomplished" a few months into an eleven year war.................

Regards,
Dave

[barbara]

The polls are only meaningful if they show that your guy is winning.

I tend to rely more on the electoral vote checking out the interactive maps on line.

[mezz]

All the numbers put Romney as the challenger in a better position than Obama's in for an incumbent and Romney still seems to have the momentum. If it is really as close as they say, last minute breaks in presidential elections, if there is an incumbent, nearly always favor the challenger.

Considering Romney's numbers for trust on the economy, his margin of advantage with independents, and early voting results I think Romney's looking good to win comfortably.

The fact that it even appears close says something about Obama's personal status as his record has been abysmal and his campaign has been devoid of merit.

[BlueStreak]

Speak of the devil....................

Regards,
Dave

[barbara]

Anyone have any thoughts on how Sandy will impact the elections?

[bobabode]

I'm voting for the incumbent, R$R can go hang.
Crystal ball says, Obama 284 or thereabouts and +4% pop vote. As Bush would say, a mandate.