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Death rate is a crucial datum. Every .5% of death rate may correspond to about 1 million more people alive or dead in the U.S.
That said, there's plenty of reason to think that early death rate estimates may be inflated. The number of mild, untreated cases that are not in the database is unknown and must itself be estimated. A further complication is news out of China that two strains of novel Corona virus may exist, one more virulent than the other.
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By Any Means Necessary
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