Quote:
Originally Posted by finnbow
Trump got a predictable 5-6 point bounce from his convention. Hillary will likely also do so. The next meaningful poll will be one a couple weeks after the DNC when the smoke clears and her bump settles.
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The way I read it, Trump's numbers went from an RCP average -2.8% before the convention to an RCP average of +1.1% after, a total swing of 3.9%. This, in my opinion, is despite the convention, not because of it. That was as unbounceworthy a convention as we've had since 1968. I think Trump got bupkis out of his convention. His increase is organic and will persist.