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Old 10-18-2015, 08:17 PM
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Boreas Boreas is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bobabode View Post
http://www.latimes.com/politics/la-n...015-story.html

One of many reasons 'La Hillary' will trounce any Republican in the general election.
So, let's think about this. What does Julian Castro as the VP candidate do for Hillary's chances?

"Why, get her the Latino vote," you say.

Well, probably but what does that get her? Sadly, thanks to the Electoral College, the election is all about the states carried, not the popular vote. So, what states can Castro win for her that she couldn't have won without him?

Well, let's see. I suppose that that would be states with a large Latino population. Pretty obvious, really, but it would also have to be red states or swing states with large Latino populations.

Here's a list.

Arizona 30.2%
Colorado 21.0%
Florida 23.2%
Nevada 27.3%
New Mexico 47%
Texas 38.2%

No other red or swing states have sizable Hispanic populations. The only other state with a large Hispanic population, say in excess of 20%, is California (38.2%) and that is deep, deep blue.

So, what do you think? Which of these red/swing states can Castro flip? Will it make a difference?
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