[donquixote99]

Originally Posted by donquixote99

From the CDC: Estimating the Future Number of Cases in the Ebola Epidemic — Liberia and Sierra Leone, 2014–2015



My estimate was a quick and dirty, limited-data effort, but I seem to be in the same awful ballpark as these experts.

The CDC paper goes on to outline, in its conclusion, what interventions would be effective to keep this from happening:



Building ETUs is what the Marines are in Liberia to do, but I question whether sufficient units can be built fast enough to get in front of the epidemic. The fallback identified, reducing risk in home or community settings, will not be as effective. But it's what I said would be the foundation of a doable strategy in message 80, and it is the strategy now being implemented by Doctors Without Borders: http://www.doctorswithoutborders.org...erway-monrovia

Originally Posted by nailer

Anyone who thinks the CDC isn't presenting, even slanting and witholding, information in order to keep the populace calm is a fool.

The CDC paper I quote above, which is probably what got the Marines sent to Liberia, is publicly available. But it isn't exactly highlighted if you go in the 'front door' of the CDC webside. I found the link to it on Wikipedia, actually....