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The authorities were quick to blame the health-care-worker-in-Dallas case on "pilot error" (to make an analogy to another sort of accident). But it may be true.
I'm not sure I fully understand the right-wing's insistence that 'we're all going to die' here. We aren't. It's people in Africa that will.
I predict about 1,000,000 cases in Africa by perhaps the middle of February of next year. Though it might take three or more months longer, if factors that slow the spread of the disease kick in. On the other hand, I'm assuming an average duration of 20 days between when someone is infected, and when they infect everyone else that they are going to. That's pretty much a wild-ass guess, but it fits with the epidemic having gotten to the size it is now, from an index case in late Dec 2013. Anyway, if I'm wrong on that parameter, the epidemic stretches out a bit longer. Still, exponential growth is exponential growth.
Speaking of exponential growth, if it were to rage unchecked over the entire planet, everyone wouold get it by next November. But that won't happen.
Last edited by donquixote99; 10-12-2014 at 07:23 PM.
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