[juliovideo]

Recently, a Chinese government spokesman said his country's gross domestic product quadruple in the next twenty years, while Cuba announced the opposite: its growth continued to decline for the third year, after a slight improvement in the late nineties. However, the most successful transition to an oligopolistic state capitalism, where private companies, private ventures competing in the same sector, was avoided as these companies were suddenly on the same historical cloaca were laying their European counterparts. The new model of state capitalism introduced a greater level of competition in these economies.


Although the Stalinist socialism and centrally planned economy maintained a doctrinaire position on the property, the main factor that separated him from fascism, the success of China's capitalist reforms initiated by Deng Xiaoping, along with the debacle of the Stalinist model in the USSR and Europe East, forced to Vietnam first and then to Cuba to follow the guidelines of China, simply because they could not survive without the reforms. After a decade of socialist collapse in Europe, both companies have abandoned the planned economy using market mechanisms and capitalist, but each with different degrees of extension and deepening.


Now pursuing a development strategy recalibrated mainly through foreign investment, increased private sector competition, capitalist accounting methods, the return of land to small farmers, a rapid expansion of the entrepreneurial role of the armed forces, the transfer of capital and goods limited liability companies abroad and in the case of China and Vietnam, in the recomposition gradual, albeit limited, of an entrepreneurial class in the private sector. The result is an economic model where private property lives quietly for the moment with a totalitarian political system, although it can not expand without restriction given the dominant role of the state.


The difference between China and Vietnam with regard to Cuba is that Castro is refusing to deepen reform for fear that the process is out of hand. He fears that would lead to a democratic transition and so carefully constructed state capitalism. Although in the early nineties, Castro authorized remittances from abroad, decriminalized the possession of dollars, boosted tourism, closed unprofitable industries and legalized self-employment, also vehemently opposed that Cubans can be the owners of small and medium enterprises, while opening the door to foreign capital.


The Cuban state capitalism is one that has just taken its first steps to get away with fear of the Stalinist economic model of planned economy, and now awaits the decision of its leader in terms of permanence, direction and depth of reforms.


The competitive state capitalism is the culmination of a strategy designed to accelerate economic growth and achieve ambitious development goals without compromising the power, and in the case of China, to finance an ambitious program of military expansion that will enable-for the most geopolitical weight-sharing or disputing the U.S. global hegemony in the future. Of course, that the deepening of reforms depends on many factors.


First, the political will to move forward, something that obviously exists in China and Vietnam but not in Cuba. And second, the international context in which each country is developed: open to trade and investment to China and Vietnam, but very limited to Cuba. Another thing different is the compatibility of totalitarianism and capitalism in the long run.


Many believe that economic freedom inevitably brings political freedom and ultimately these reforms will end up in other liberal democratic capitalism as the United States. It could also end up producing a kind of supertotalitarismo technologically advanced and highly dangerous for liberal capitalism and, therefore, for Western civilization.


It should be understood that the purpose of communist parties in power is not the transition towards the "enemy model" of liberal democracy. Not wish to sow the seeds of liberal model expanding free enterprise, but use of capitalism, corporatism and fascism what interests them and agrees to remain in power.


Remember that the Communists subordinate economic to political and not political to economic. Their political strategy seeks to improve substantially the living standards of their peoples, a great change from the past, as a condition for staying in power. It's only taken a calculated risk, like the Leninist strategy of the New Economic Policy (NEP) of the twenties. The Chinese believe that is possible, not Castro.



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