Trump's path through the College
 

No matter how we slice and dice things on a national scale, Trump has a very tortured path to win enough electoral votes to be come president. He is so caustic and mindlessly uncaring that he has guaranteed he will not carry states with a significant minority Hispanic population, black population, and now he is working on alienating veterans' families and women voters.

The long and short of it is analysts are saying he needs to sweep the critical trifecta of Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania, with their large cache of electoral votes, a conservative swing population, and a receptive bloc of angry white voters. Michigan is a step behind, but these three are critical for him.

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/07/31/us...race.html?_r=0

Bookmark this one...http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/...tion-forecast/



Barney

If the above poll is accurate and the Democratic Party's only message is that the Trump presidency will be a disaster, Hillary could lose. So far that's all I hear and that is dangerous.

I have faith that The Big Orange Man will save us from The Wicked Hildebeast.

Here's something else. Never mentions Trump once. Whether you'll be able to 'hear' it is the question, though....

The four policy reasons why I support Hillary Clinton in the Democratic Primary.

You want me to read now why some individual voted for Hillary instead for Bernie in the primaries? Here is one paragraph that sounds like an advertisement copy.
Ah the status quo approach to hope and change. :rolleyes:

Good one, Don Q!

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:D


one heck of a choice we got there

I got as far as "generally push at the boundaries of what is possible" :rolleyes:

I did not see the relevance for the post nor the link, but it's early for me and still on my first cup of coffee. But it did receive a complement and now I am scratching my head a bit.

The real intent here on this forum from some is that "if you don't support Hillary, you don't know what's good for the country or you are downright stupid". Maybe so, but then I always consider the source. ;)

Because a whole lot of people believe Hillary will be just as, if not more disastrous.

Who saves us from the Orangutan?

Caesar.
http://static.srcdn.com/slir/w620-h3...al-Trailer.jpg

You think you're joking.

You are a horrible racist. (snark, hate, arrogance)

It's clear that using a monkey you are intimating Obie coming to the rescue of Hillary to save us from the orange man.

Now that you have shown your horrible nature I demand to know how you defend you position that all blacks are inferior.

(see, I can post as you do also!):)

Folks, this thread is about how the election tips based on the individual states and their electoral votes. Please post the fluff in other threads, no matter how hairy.

While Trump is doing this, Hillary is hitting the road in her big blue bus and fighting in Nebraska which hasn't seen a Democratic presidential candidate on the ground since Roosevelt in '36.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/polit...mepage%2Fstory

Another potential wild-card in this election may be the appeal of 3rd party candidates to those who can't stomach either Trump or Clinton:

http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/...upport-surging

"The biggest beneficiary has been Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson, who has shot up from 4.5 percent to 7.2 percent in RealClearPolitics polling averages. Green Party candidate Jill Stein has also seen an uptick since June — from 2.5 percent to 3.5 percent." The Hill

Since the Libertarians pull from Republicans, I'm good with it. :)

Unless we go into 100% vote by mail or internet, victory by a third party candidate is an impossibility. Look what happened with Bernie and with a 3rd party candidate, both parties will ganging up. Then there is the matter of media restricting access and how that will play out.

Maybe, maybe not. From the article:

But the numbers are far from cut-and-dry. Quinnipiac’s recent batch of swing state polls found that Trump’s standing in the race against Clinton improved slightly when all four candidates were included.

Its not really about victory for a 3rd party candidate. Its more about how votes for a 3rd party candidate could tip the scales one way or another for the two major candidates in close state races.

Progressives may feel held hostage against the prospect of a TrumPence victory, this limits options making a statement against "the machine" vs certain disaster for their ideals with an inexperienced undisciplined egotistical authoritarian manchild and a hard right uncompromised dogmatic partisan as the likely result of diluted opposition.

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Is this all we have on the ballot Bob? These 4?

What about Rent Is Too Damn High party?
Maybe McMillan will clime the Washington monument this time then allow himself to be tared and feathered.

I think he'd get several % just as a backlash vote. Not sure wjich candidate he would hurt though.

I don't know which McMillan you're talking about but in the presidential race it's between a vulgar talking yam who's wife made the cover of the NY Post in her birthday suit and a policy wonk Wellesley graduate.

The Greenies are irrelevant and their leader is a nut doing a Harrold Stassen, imo.

To cut through all the BS, this election is between a billionaire and a multi-millionaire. :)

This one.

http://www.nystateofpolitics.com/fil...2/mcmillan.jpg


https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rent_I...amn_High_Party

just like war's, it's always about economics ;)

John is correct.

Everyone knows that on average billionaires are worse than millionaires. :)

Seriously though, we're a one party state with two wings.