Public Preference for a GOP Congress Marks a New Low in Obama’s Approval

[4-2-7]

Public Preference for a GOP Congress Marks a New Low in Obama’s Approval

Weary of waiting for an economic recovery worth its name, a frustrated American public has sent Barack Obama’s job approval rating to a career low – with a majority in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll favoring a Republican Congress to act as a check on his policies.
Registered voters by 53-39 percent in the national survey say they’d rather see the Republicans in control of Congress as a counterbalance to Obama’s policies than a Democratic-led Congress to help support him. It was similar in fall 2010, when the Republicans took control of the House of Representatives and gained six Senate seats.
See PDF with full results and charts here.
Obama’s job approval rating, after a slight winter rebound, has lost 5 points among all adults since March, to 41 percent, the lowest of his presidency by a single point. Fifty-two percent disapprove, with “strong” disapproval exceeding strong approval by 17 percentage points. He’s lost ground in particular among some of his core support groups.
Economic discontent remains the driving element in political views in this survey, produced for ABC by Langer Research Associates. Americans rate the condition of the economy negatively by 71-29 percent – the least bad since November 2007, but still dismal by any measure. Only 28 percent think the economy’s improving, down by 9 points since just before Obama won his second term. He gets just 42 percent approval for handling it.
Economic views are strongly related to political preferences. Among people who see the economy improving, 65 percent prefer Democratic control of Congress, while among those who see the economy as stagnant or worsening, 62 percent favor Republican control. Notably, economic views are linked with preferences for control of Congress regardless of people’s partisan affiliation.
The results suggest the corrosive effects of the long downturn on the president’s popularity: Among those who say the economy is in bad shape, Obama’s overall approval rating has lost 20 points since February 2012, from 46 percent then to 26 percent now.

http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics...amas-approval/

[bobabode]

Thanks for the graphic Beamon.

[4-2-7]

Originally Posted by bobabode

Thanks for the graphic Beamon.

Still will not change the numbers and shows the world childish behavior of the left.

[BlueStreak]

Speak up, I can't hear you.

[Rajoo]

Originally Posted by BlueStreak

Speak up, I can't hear you.

Dave, hope you can hear this.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zj7jTtyCmOU&feature=kp

[piece-itpete]

It's an interesting report folks:

http://www.langerresearch.com/upload...14Politics.pdf

Good and bad news for both parties.

Pete

[donquixote99]

Originally Posted by piece-itpete

It's an interesting report folks:

http://www.langerresearch.com/upload...14Politics.pdf

Good and bad news for both parties.

Pete

So, can you give some examples? I'd be interested in your opinions.

[piece-itpete]

DQ, did you read it? Our Fearless Leader is getting hammered pretty hard on many of the top issues of the day - the economy: "Notably, economic views are linked with preferences for control of Congress regardless of people’s partisan affiliation."

Heath care costs: "One reason is that the law seems to have opened an avenue for public ire about health care costs to be directed at the administration. Six in 10 blame the ACA for increasing costs nationally, and 47 percent think it’s caused their own health care expenses to rise. Regardless of whether or how much those costs would have risen otherwise, Obamacare is taking a heavy dose of the blame."

Ukraine (which is currently a proxy for foreign policy as it's on the news, my take): "Given continued tensions over Ukraine, just 34 percent of Americans approve of how he’s handling that situation, 8 points fewer than early last month."

Looks dark for the midterms overall: "General anti-incumbency results: Just 22 percent of Americans say they’re inclined to re-elect their representative in Congress, unchanged from last month as the fewest in ABC/Post polls dating back 25 years." Me again: That would include the Rep Revolution.

Speaking of that the whole thing reported as bad news for the left comes down to our favorite prankster Bill Clinton's comment, it's the economy, stupid

But it's not sweetness and light for the GOP. If you look at the 'Trust to Handle Issues' graphic on page 5 (can't copy/paste) the Dems come darn close to a clean sweep. It goes on:

"The Republicans have some vulnerability in other areas, as well. Americans say the Democratic Party comes closer than the GOP to their positions on climate change, by 18 points; whether or not to raise the minimum wage, by 16 points; gay marriage, by 14 points; and the issue of abortion, by 8 points. On one remaining issue, gun control, the Republicans have a slight, 5-point edge."

This appears to be a long term problem though, vs a short term.

A big paste:

"OBAMA/GROUPS – Divisions among groups remain especially stark in terms of Obama’s ratings; further, as noted, he’s lost ground in some of his core support groups. The president’s approval rating since early March has lost 14 points among liberals, 12 points among people with postgraduate degrees, 10 points among urban residents, 9 points among Democrats and 7 points among those with incomes less than $50,000. He’s lost 9 points among independents as well.
With 41 percent approval overall (his previous low was 42 percent last November and the same in October 2011), Obama’s at new lows among nonwhites (61-34 percent, approve-disapprove) and liberals (63-31 percent), and matches his lows among moderates (46-48 percent) and independents (33-59 percent). His rating among Democrats, 74-22 percent, is a single point from its low.
Other results also mark the extent of the difficulties facing Obama and his party alike. A form of statistical analysis called regression finds that, as noted above, views on the economy correlate both with congressional vote preference, and views on which party should control Congress, independently of partisan affiliation. That suggests that the Democrats are in serious need of a positive shift in economic views.
That may be hard to accomplish. While 50 percent of Democrats say the economy’s in good shape, that plummets not only among Republicans but independents as well, to 12 and 22 percent, respectively. And while 46 percent of Democrats see improvement in the economy, again just 22 percent of independents, and 15 percent of Republicans, agree.
Preferences on which party controls Congress may reflect a general inclination in favor of divided government – and don’t always predict outcomes, as in 2002, when more registered voters preferred Democratic control yet the GOP held its ground. It’s striking, nonetheless, that this poll finds Republican control favored not only in the 2012 red states, by 56-36 percent, but also by 51-41 percent in the blue states that backed Obama fewer than two years ago."

.-.-.-.

Long and short, unless the economy significantly improves soon it appears that the GOP is set for serious gains in the midterms if not a walkover.

But it's still a ways off, and, what do I know?

Pete

[4-2-7]

Originally Posted by piece-itpete

DQ, did you read it? Our Fearless Leader is getting hammered pretty hard on many of the top issues of the day - the economy: "Notably, economic views are linked with preferences for control of Congress regardless of people’s partisan affiliation."

Heath care costs: "One reason is that the law seems to have opened an avenue for public ire about health care costs to be directed at the administration. Six in 10 blame the ACA for increasing costs nationally, and 47 percent think it’s caused their own health care expenses to rise. Regardless of whether or how much those costs would have risen otherwise, Obamacare is taking a heavy dose of the blame."

Ukraine (which is currently a proxy for foreign policy as it's on the news, my take): "Given continued tensions over Ukraine, just 34 percent of Americans approve of how he’s handling that situation, 8 points fewer than early last month."

Looks dark for the midterms overall: "General anti-incumbency results: Just 22 percent of Americans say they’re inclined to re-elect their representative in Congress, unchanged from last month as the fewest in ABC/Post polls dating back 25 years." Me again: That would include the Rep Revolution.

Speaking of that the whole thing reported as bad news for the left comes down to our favorite prankster Bill Clinton's comment, it's the economy, stupid

But it's not sweetness and light for the GOP. If you look at the 'Trust to Handle Issues' graphic on page 5 (can't copy/paste) the Dems come darn close to a clean sweep. It goes on:

"The Republicans have some vulnerability in other areas, as well. Americans say the Democratic Party comes closer than the GOP to their positions on climate change, by 18 points; whether or not to raise the minimum wage, by 16 points; gay marriage, by 14 points; and the issue of abortion, by 8 points. On one remaining issue, gun control, the Republicans have a slight, 5-point edge."

This appears to be a long term problem though, vs a short term.

A big paste:

"OBAMA/GROUPS – Divisions among groups remain especially stark in terms of Obama’s ratings; further, as noted, he’s lost ground in some of his core support groups. The president’s approval rating since early March has lost 14 points among liberals, 12 points among people with postgraduate degrees, 10 points among urban residents, 9 points among Democrats and 7 points among those with incomes less than $50,000. He’s lost 9 points among independents as well.
With 41 percent approval overall (his previous low was 42 percent last November and the same in October 2011), Obama’s at new lows among nonwhites (61-34 percent, approve-disapprove) and liberals (63-31 percent), and matches his lows among moderates (46-48 percent) and independents (33-59 percent). His rating among Democrats, 74-22 percent, is a single point from its low.
Other results also mark the extent of the difficulties facing Obama and his party alike. A form of statistical analysis called regression finds that, as noted above, views on the economy correlate both with congressional vote preference, and views on which party should control Congress, independently of partisan affiliation. That suggests that the Democrats are in serious need of a positive shift in economic views.
That may be hard to accomplish. While 50 percent of Democrats say the economy’s in good shape, that plummets not only among Republicans but independents as well, to 12 and 22 percent, respectively. And while 46 percent of Democrats see improvement in the economy, again just 22 percent of independents, and 15 percent of Republicans, agree.
Preferences on which party controls Congress may reflect a general inclination in favor of divided government – and don’t always predict outcomes, as in 2002, when more registered voters preferred Democratic control yet the GOP held its ground. It’s striking, nonetheless, that this poll finds Republican control favored not only in the 2012 red states, by 56-36 percent, but also by 51-41 percent in the blue states that backed Obama fewer than two years ago."

.-.-.-.

Long and short, unless the economy significantly improves soon it appears that the GOP is set for serious gains in the midterms if not a walkover.

But it's still a ways off, and, what do I know?

Pete

You know that people vote with their pocketbook nothing new there although some want to be in denial.

[Pio1980]

So it is in the interest of the party of "No!" to continue to sabotage the recovery. Effing brilliant.

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