Polling Data Breakdown

[d-ray657]

Originally Posted by mezz

That will be a matter of dimwits getting what they deserve, nothing more.

And you becoming more and more bitter - and delusional.

[piece-itpete]

Originally Posted by Boreas

Not according to Uncle Joe.

“Those who vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything.”

John

Excellent!

Pete

[mezz]

More fun with polls.

The RCP electoral college shows all battleground states and the percentage of people who responded either Obama or Romney. The interesting number (and the one left out in determining RCPs electoral college map) is the percentage who have not responded either way. If these are to be taken as undecideds (who will actually turn out to vote - a problem assumption, but an assumption which may even out given that a good portion of those those who chose a candidate in the opinion polls will not turn out to vote either - and if Obama's got an enthusiasm gap here than this is more bad news for him).

So looking at undecideds in any state where the total respondents who chose a candidate did not put either candidate over 50% we can apply the 'undecided's rule' and assume that 82% of undecideds this late in the game will break for the challenger.

That gives us an electoral college map with Ohio, New Hampshire, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Iowa too close to call and puts Oregon into leaning Romney.

Thus, the electoral total with toss-ups: Obama= 210, Romney=264. If we create a no toss-up map we get: Obama=264, Romney=274 (Romney wins without Ohio or Pennsylvania).

[bobabode]

Don't y'all just love the home schooled?...