Political Forums  

Go Back   Political Forums > Politics
Register FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

We appreciate your help

in keeping this site going.
Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 11-03-2016, 09:20 PM
whell's Avatar
whell whell is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2010
Location: Metro Detroit
Posts: 13,016
Collapse

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...nton-5491.html

Wasn't it a month ago that we were lead to believe that this was an 8 point Clinton lead, and she had the election wrapped up?

Poof!
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 11-03-2016, 09:24 PM
bobabode's Avatar
bobabode bobabode is offline
Admin
 
Join Date: Dec 2011
Location: Behind the Orange Curtain in California
Posts: 37,234
Quote:
Originally Posted by whell View Post
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...nton-5491.html

Wasn't it a month ago that we were lead to believe that this was an 8 point Clinton lead, and she had the election wrapped up?

Poof!
Heh, if RCP is your touchstone? You're going to disappointed on Tuesday, bro.
__________________
I don't know half of you half as well as I should like, and I like less than half of you half as well as you deserve.
- Mr. Underhill
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 11-04-2016, 08:18 AM
Tom Joad's Avatar
Tom Joad Tom Joad is offline
Persona non grata
 
Join Date: Oct 2013
Posts: 12,654
Quote:
Originally Posted by bobabode View Post
Heh, if RCP is your touchstone? You're going to disappointed on Tuesday, bro.
Right now your boy Nate Silver has it 2-1 in favor of Hillary.

That's represents a significant move towards Trump in the past week to ten days.

To look at it another way, you are now playing Russian roulette with 2 bullets in a six shot revolver.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/...tion-forecast/


Then there's the expectations game.

You Hillaybots have set yourself up for a huge landslide win for Hillary.

Even if Trump loses, if he can keep it close, it will be a major embarrassment for her.

And then there's the Senate.

The Republicans have to defend 24 seats this time around.

The Democrats only 10.

24-10.

With those kind of odds in their favor, if the Democrats don't take back the Senate it will be a testament to the weakness of their candidate.
__________________
"The enemy of my enemy is my friend."

Last edited by Tom Joad; 11-04-2016 at 08:31 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 11-04-2016, 11:01 AM
icenine's Avatar
icenine icenine is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2011
Location: San Diego via Vermilion Ohio and Points Between
Posts: 11,538
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tom Joad View Post
Right now your boy Nate Silver has it 2-1 in favor of Hillary.

That's represents a significant move towards Trump in the past week to ten days.

To look at it another way, you are now playing Russian roulette with 2 bullets in a six shot revolver.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/...tion-forecast/


Then there's the expectations game.

You Hillaybots have set yourself up for a huge landslide win for Hillary.

Even if Trump loses, if he can keep it close, it will be a major embarrassment for her.

And then there's the Senate.

The Republicans have to defend 24 seats this time around.

The Democrats only 10.

24-10.

With those kind of odds in their favor, if the Democrats don't take back the Senate it will be a testament to the weakness of their candidate.
I don't think winning the Presidency, by whatever margin, has ever been a major embarrassment for any candidate.
__________________
Never was there a time when I did not exist, nor you, nor in the future shall any of us cease to be.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 11-10-2016, 10:30 PM
Tom Joad's Avatar
Tom Joad Tom Joad is offline
Persona non grata
 
Join Date: Oct 2013
Posts: 12,654
Quote:
Originally Posted by bobabode View Post
Heh, if RCP is your touchstone? You're going to disappointed on Tuesday, bro.
This is like shooting fish in a barrel.
__________________
"The enemy of my enemy is my friend."
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 11-03-2016, 10:23 PM
Pio1980's Avatar
Pio1980 Pio1980 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2014
Location: NE Bamastan
Posts: 11,070
An empty suit channeling P.T. Barnum and every demagogue that drew a crowd won't release tax documents that would prove he is a fraud, yet he has a rabid fan base of gullible fools.
Nothing that happens around Hillz is going to change him into a Presidential intellect, and as unlikely as Hillz could be redeemed by the office, it is far more likely with her than him.
I'll take that chance.

Sent from my SM-N900V using Tapatalk
__________________
I'll believe corporations are people when Texas executes one.

Last edited by Pio1980; 11-03-2016 at 10:26 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 11-04-2016, 06:58 AM
whell's Avatar
whell whell is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2010
Location: Metro Detroit
Posts: 13,016
Quote:
Originally Posted by Pio1980 View Post
An empty suit channeling P.T. Barnum and every demagogue that drew a crowd won't release tax documents that would prove he is a fraud, yet he has a rabid fan base of gullible fools.
Nothing that happens around Hillz is going to change him into a Presidential intellect, and as unlikely as Hillz could be redeemed by the office, it is far more likely with her than him.
I'll take that chance.

Sent from my SM-N900V using Tapatalk
I'm definitely heading in the opposite direction, choosing the "unknown versus the known". The last couple months has been an appropriate reminder of what 8 years of "Clinton 1" was like, and what "Clinton 2" would likely bring.

Still undecided between P.T. Barnum and the "geographically - challenged" candidate, but IMHO either are better than the likely constant barrage of ethical and judgement lapses that would accompany another Clinton administration.
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 11-04-2016, 08:42 AM
nailer's Avatar
nailer nailer is offline
Rational Anarchist
 
Join Date: Jul 2014
Location: DFW
Posts: 7,315
Quote:
Originally Posted by whell View Post
I'm definitely heading in the opposite direction, choosing the "unknown versus the known". The last couple months has been an appropriate reminder of what 8 years of "Clinton 1" was like, and what "Clinton 2" would likely bring.

Still undecided between P.T. Barnum and the "geographically - challenged" candidate, but IMHO either are better than the likely constant barrage of ethical and judgement lapses that would accompany another Clinton administration.
Economically Clinton 1 was pretty good.
__________________
"We have met the enemy and he is us."
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 11-04-2016, 09:06 AM
Tom Joad's Avatar
Tom Joad Tom Joad is offline
Persona non grata
 
Join Date: Oct 2013
Posts: 12,654
Quote:
Originally Posted by nailer View Post
Economically Clinton 1 was pretty good.
Clinton benefited from several things.

One was that the baby boomers were hitting their peak earning years and wre pumping plenty of money into the economy.

Then there was the stock market boom during his second term where the Nasdaq stocks were trading at anywhere from 100 to infinity times earnings.

Everyone thought they were going to be millionaires.

But it was all funny money.

I remember one young Dude where I worked that was bragging about how he had made 50 grand in the market in the last year and how he was going to retire in five years.

Last I heard he's now in his 50's and still working at the same place trying to hold on for his thirty years so he can get his pension.
__________________
"The enemy of my enemy is my friend."
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 11-04-2016, 09:35 AM
nailer's Avatar
nailer nailer is offline
Rational Anarchist
 
Join Date: Jul 2014
Location: DFW
Posts: 7,315
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tom Joad View Post
Clinton benefited from several things.

One was that the baby boomers were hitting their peak earning years and wre pumping plenty of money into the economy.

Then there was the stock market boom during his second term where the Nasdaq stocks were trading at anywhere from 100 to infinity times earnings.

Everyone thought they were going to be millionaires.

But it was all funny money.

I remember one young Dude where I worked that was bragging about how he had made 50 grand in the market in the last year and how he was going to retire in five years.

Last I heard he's now in his 50's and still working at the same place trying to hold on for his thirty years so he can get his pension.
Being a millionaire isn't all that special.
__________________
"We have met the enemy and he is us."
Reply With Quote
Reply


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 01:15 AM.



Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.6
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.