Quote:
Originally Posted by Tom Joad
The polls are very close. Hillary has a lead of a few points.
There are still a higher percentage of undecided and third party voters for this late in the game.
Since this is a change election and Hillary represents the status quo, I expect a majority of the undecideds to break for Trump. That will give Trump a slight boost.
History has shown us that third party candidates usually under perform their poll numbers. This is one thing I don't think will be different this time around. Johnson is polling at an average of about 4%. I expect his final vote will fall to about half that, or about 2%. I expect the majority of the other 2% to also break for Trump, after all the Libertarians are conservatives. Another slight boost for Trump.
Jill Stein is polling around 2%. I expect her final numbers will, like Johnsons, fall to about half, or 1%, with the majority of the remaining 1% breaking for Clinton. A very slight boost for Clinton.
So two slight boosts for Trump vs. one very slight boost for Trump makes this election too close to call IMO.
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If your boy wins, say goodbye to the Social Security benefits you're always whining about.